Polls Can Be Wrong. Midterm Headwinds Are Real. 2028 Is a Different Election.

Polls and betting markets have several Republican Senate seats looking vulnerable today. The numbers put Susan Collins at roughly a 70-75% chance of losing in Maine, Mike Rogers around 75-80% in Michigan, Dan Sullivan near 70% in Alaska, Roger Marshall in the mid-60s in Kansas, and Ken Paxton around 70% in Texas.

These are just odds. Polls and markets get races wrong—sometimes badly.

Collins herself overcame a clear polling deficit in 2020. We’ll know the real results soon enough.

The larger pattern is harder to ignore. Midterms are usually a referendum on the party in power. Since 1946, the president’s party has lost House seats in 18 of 20 midterms, averaging roughly 26 seats. Senate losses are less automatic but still common (13 of those 20 cycles). Voters treat the midterms as a chance to send a message. That headwind is real.

It does not, however, decide the next presidential election. The correlation ...

This verse keeps coming back to me whenever people act like their personal sense of morality, justice, or goodness somehow outranks God’s.

Their thoughts are higher than the Creator’s?

That idea is both arrogant and absurd. It leaves me somewhere between an eye-roll and genuine sadness.

“For my thoughts are not your thoughts, neither are your ways my ways,” declares the Lord. “As the heavens are higher than the earth, so are my ways higher than your ways and my thoughts than your thoughts.”
Isaiah 55:8–9 (NIV)

What are your thoughts about this verse? What is it saying to you?

#Isaiah #BibleVerse #justice #GodsWord #HigherWays

This passage from Isaiah arrests me in my tracks. The more I sit with it, the more it undoes me.

“Who has believed our message
and to whom has the arm of the Lord been revealed?

He grew up before him like a tender shoot, and like a root out of dry ground.

He had no beauty or majesty to attract us to him, nothing in his appearance that we should desire him.

He was despised and rejected by mankind, a man of suffering, and familiar with pain.

Like one from whom people hide their faces he was despised, and we held him in low esteem.

Surely he took up our pain
and bore our suffering, yet we considered him punished by God,
stricken by him, and afflicted.

But he was pierced for our transgressions, he was crushed for our iniquities; the punishment that brought us peace was on him, and by his wounds we are healed.”

Isaiah 53:1-5 (NIV)

Does this one move you too? Or is there another verse that hits you in a similar way?

#Isaiah53 #Messiah #Healing #Hope #BibleVerse